Predictika · Gas turbine power island and service agreement quotes

An AI sales agent's gas turbine quote, checked before it goes out

An AI sales agent prepares a gas turbine power island and long-term service agreement quote for a fictional customer of Aurelis Power Systems: turbine model and units, cycle, site conditions, fuel and emissions, black start, service agreement, payment terms, delivery date, discount and a total price it tells the customer. The company, its TX-series turbines and every figure are fictional. Before the quote goes out, the agent sends it to Predictika, which checks the whole plant against the example rules and returns a verdict, every reason and the price it computed.

Scope: gas turbine power island and service agreement quotes for the fictional Aurelis TX series (TX-350, TX-720, TX-880 and TX-A30): output at site conditions, fuel and emissions, service agreement, payment terms, delivery, discount authority and price. See everything this validator covers

This validator models quotes for the fictional Aurelis TX-series gas turbine power island, not just the scenarios shown below.

  • Plant and site — four turbine models, simple or combined cycle, one to several units with optional N+1, and output at the site temperature and altitude against the required MW.
  • Fuel, emissions and starting — natural gas, dual fuel and hydrogen blends against each turbine's rating, NOx limits with the SCR option, black start with the diesel package, and the required start time.
  • Service agreement and payment — the long-term service agreement term and hours against the first major inspection, cyclic duty, down payment and buyer credit, and delivery lead time against the need date.
  • Price and approvals — equipment, options and service price, discount authority that depends on the size of the order, and a check of the total the agent states against the total the validator computes.

Any quote for a plant built from these turbines that touches these rules is in scope — not only the scenarios pictured here. Not covered: turbines outside the four modeled, real prices or service rates, balance-of-plant equipment, financing and tax. Aurelis Power Systems is fictional; its products, ratings, prices and policies are examples.

The AI sales agentDrafts the gas turbine quote for a customer, says what it will quote and at what total, then sends it to the validator.
Predictika validatorChecks every rule at once and returns the verdict, each finding, and the computed figures.

8 scenarios in 4 groups · each group runs from the agent’s first attempt to the outcome · click one to switch

What the agent proposes

The AI sales agent says

Proposing agent: AI sales agent (scripted)

Before sending, the agent must call Recorded run

Predictika validator


      
Waiting for the call.

Where rules-based CPQ gets it wrong

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Our assessment of what typical CPQ products (product rules, price rules and validation rules) do with the same cases. It is a judgment about effort and reliability, not a claim that nothing can be built.

What the validator caughtTypical rules-based CPQPredictika
Output at site conditions that depends on units, redundancy, heat and altitudeOnly with workarounds
Heat and altitude derate, units in service and N+1 redundancy combine into one computed output, which usually becomes a formula plus a validation rule per turbine; adding a unit to fix it also moves the price and the discount band.
The output is computed from the turbine data and compared with the requirement on every call, and the price and the discount authority are recomputed from the same request.
Fuel, emissions and black-start options that interact with start time and deliveryOnly with care
Each option rule is simple, but hydrogen share, dual fuel, the NOx guarantee and black start are turbine-specific, and combined cycle adds start time and lead time, so the rules must be kept in step as models are added.
Limits are read from the turbine data and every option is a field of the same request, so a fix that moves one check is seen by the others.
Service agreement hours that depend on running hours, starts, term and turbineOnly with workarounds
Hours depend on running hours, starts and term together and must be compared with a turbine-specific inspection interval, with a separate rule for cyclic duty.
The equivalent operating hours are computed and compared with the inspection interval on every call.
Payment terms, buyer credit and discount authority that depends on order sizeOnly with care
A down-payment floor, an approval band, a credit condition and discount tiers that change with the equipment value mean a rule per band, recomputed whenever units or options change.
All thresholds are evaluated together and returned with the reason; the approvable maximum is computed from the equipment value.
A total the agent states that must match, and every problem in one answerOnly with workarounds
Comparing a stated total with a computed one needs its own rule, and rules tend to fire as a step is completed, so a rep fixes one error and meets the next.
The stated total is a field of the request, and all findings come back together, whatever order the choices arrived in.

What this validator catches: findings from its test cases

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Every rule is checked on every call, in any order the choices arrive; one problem never hides another. Blocking findings stop the quote; approval findings need a person to sign off; everything else is computed.

167.0 MW available is less than 6 percent above the 65.0 MW required; performance guarantees need engineering sign-off.
212 percent down payment is below the 18 percent standard milestone; finance must approve.
310 percent discount is above the 4 percent a sales manager can give; approvable up to 14 percent.
4350 starts per year is cyclic duty; LTSA pricing needs service-risk approval.
55 percent discount is above the 4 percent a sales manager can give; approvable up to 8 percent.
6112.96 MW available (56.48 MW per unit at 35 C and 100 m, N redundancy) is below the 118.0 MW required.
729.41 MW available (29.41 MW per unit at 25 C and 0 m, N_Plus_1 redundancy) is below the 40.0 MW required.
830 percent hydrogen exceeds the 18 percent the TX-A30 aeroderivative gas turbine combustion system is rated for.
9Permit limit 20 ppm NOx is below the 30 ppm DLE guarantee; add SCR.
10Black start on the TX-880 industrial gas turbine needs the black-start diesel package.
11Start to full load takes about 49 min; the customer requires 30 min.
12LTSA term 4 years is outside 5 to 20 years.
1330,400 EOH over the LTSA term does not reach the first major inspection at 44,000 EOH.
145 percent down payment is below the 12 percent minimum.
15A sub-investment-grade buyer needs at least 25 percent down or a letter of credit.
16Delivery takes about 26 months; the customer needs commercial operation in 20.
1715 percent discount exceeds the 14 percent that can be approved on $118,000,000 of equipment.
18Dual fuel is not offered on the DLE TX-A30 aeroderivative gas turbine.
19The total price the agent states ($122,079,560) differs from the total the validator computes ($128,504,800).

Scenarios and results

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The recorded result of the validator for each scenario on this page: the request the AI agent sent, the verdict, and every finding, in the order they appear above.

1. A hydrogen-ready combined-cycle bid: A combined-cycle bid for a hot, high site with hydrogen, black start, a short service agreement, weak credit and a 12 percent discount

The agent's request. Please quote 2 Aurelis TX-720 gas turbines in combined cycle, a hydrogen blend (40 percent hydrogen), 90 MW required at 40 C and 600 m, a 15 ppm NOx permit, black start and full load within 30 minutes, a 5-year service agreement (3,000 hours and 100 starts a year), 8 percent down from a sub-investment-grade buyer, commercial operation within 18 months, and a 12 percent discount. The quote total is $71,058,240. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Delivered output below the requirement. 65.26 MW available (32.63 MW per unit at 40 C and 600 m, N redundancy) is below the 90.0 MW required.
  • Hydrogen share above the turbine rating. 40 percent hydrogen exceeds the 35 percent the TX-720 industrial gas turbine combustion system is rated for.
  • Permit NOx limit below the turbine guarantee. Permit limit 15 ppm NOx is below the 20 ppm DLE guarantee; add SCR.
  • Black start with no black-start capability. Black start on the TX-720 industrial gas turbine needs the black-start diesel package.
  • Start to full load slower than required. Start to full load takes about 46 min; the customer requires 30 min.
  • Service agreement never reaches the first major inspection. 21,000 EOH over the LTSA term does not reach the first major inspection at 36,000 EOH.
  • Down payment below the minimum. 8 percent down payment is below the 12 percent minimum.
  • Weak credit with a small down payment and no letter of credit. A sub-investment-grade buyer needs at least 25 percent down or a letter of credit.
  • Delivery later than the customer needs. Delivery takes about 24 months; the customer needs commercial operation in 18.
  • Discount above anyone’s authority. 12 percent discount exceeds the 8 percent that can be approved on $88,800,000 of equipment.
  • Stated total does not match the validator total. The total price the agent states ($71,058,240) differs from the total the validator computes ($80,748,000).

2. A hydrogen-ready combined-cycle bid: The agent resubmits after fixing the errors

The agent's request. Please quote 4 Aurelis TX-720 gas turbines in combined cycle, a hydrogen blend (30 percent hydrogen), 90 MW required at 40 C and 600 m, a 15 ppm NOx permit with SCR, black start with the diesel package and full load within 50 minutes, an 8-year service agreement (6,000 hours and 100 starts a year), 25 percent down from a sub-investment-grade buyer, commercial operation within 26 months, and a 4 percent discount. The quote total is $197,452,800. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

  • Price summary. Illustrative price $197,452,800 total. Power island equipment $190,800,000 less 4 percent = $183,168,000; LTSA $14,284,800 for 57,600 EOH per unit; down payment $45,792,000.00. Site output 32.63 MW per unit, 130.52 MW available, lead time about 24 months.

3. Peakers that need sign-off: A three-unit N+1 black-start peaker quote with a thin margin, 350 starts a year, 15 percent down and 6 percent off

The agent's request. Please quote 3 Aurelis TX-A30 gas turbines in simple cycle with N+1 redundancy, natural gas, 56 MW required at 25 C and 0 m, a 30 ppm NOx permit, black start and full load within 10 minutes, a 10-year service agreement (3,000 hours and 350 starts a year), 15 percent down from an investment-grade buyer, commercial operation within 14 months, and a 6 percent discount. The quote total is $66,288,000. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Needs approval.

  • Output margin under 6 percent. 58.82 MW available is less than 6 percent above the 56.0 MW required; performance guarantees need engineering sign-off.
  • Cyclic duty under a service agreement. 350 starts per year is cyclic duty; LTSA pricing needs service-risk approval.
  • Down payment below the standard milestone. 15 percent down payment is below the 18 percent standard milestone; finance must approve.
  • Discount above sales manager authority. 6 percent discount is above the 4 percent a sales manager can give; approvable up to 8 percent.
  • Price summary. Illustrative price $66,288,000 total. Power island equipment $64,200,000 less 6 percent = $60,348,000; LTSA $5,940,000 for 30,000 EOH per unit; down payment $9,052,200.00. Site output 29.41 MW per unit, 58.82 MW available, lead time about 13 months.

4. Peakers that need sign-off: The agent resubmits after fixing the errors

The agent's request. Please quote 3 Aurelis TX-A30 gas turbines in simple cycle with N+1 redundancy, natural gas, 54 MW required at 25 C and 0 m, a 30 ppm NOx permit, black start and full load within 10 minutes, a 10-year service agreement (3,000 hours and 250 starts a year), 20 percent down from an investment-grade buyer, commercial operation within 14 months, and a 4 percent discount. The quote total is $67,572,000. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

  • Price summary. Illustrative price $67,572,000 total. Power island equipment $64,200,000 less 4 percent = $61,632,000; LTSA $5,940,000 for 30,000 EOH per unit; down payment $12,326,400.00. Site output 29.41 MW per unit, 58.82 MW available, lead time about 13 months.

5. Hydrogen and emissions on the aeroderivative: One TX-A30 on 30 percent hydrogen under a 20 ppm permit with no SCR

The agent's request. Please quote 1 Aurelis TX-A30 gas turbine in simple cycle, a hydrogen blend (30 percent hydrogen), 29 MW required at 18 C and 0 m, a 20 ppm NOx permit, 20 percent down from an investment-grade buyer, commercial operation within 14 months, and no discount. The quote total is $22,300,000. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Hydrogen share above the turbine rating. 30 percent hydrogen exceeds the 18 percent the TX-A30 aeroderivative gas turbine combustion system is rated for.
  • Permit NOx limit below the turbine guarantee. Permit limit 20 ppm NOx is below the 30 ppm DLE guarantee; add SCR.

6. Hydrogen and emissions on the aeroderivative: The agent resubmits after fixing the errors

The agent's request. Please quote 1 Aurelis TX-A30 gas turbine in simple cycle, a hydrogen blend (15 percent hydrogen), 29 MW required at 18 C and 0 m, a 20 ppm NOx permit with SCR, 20 percent down from an investment-grade buyer, commercial operation within 14 months, and no discount. The quote total is $25,100,000. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

  • Price summary. Illustrative price $25,100,000 total. Power island equipment $25,100,000 less 0 percent = $25,100,000; LTSA $0 for 0 EOH per unit; down payment $5,020,000.00. Site output 31.57 MW per unit, 31.57 MW available, lead time about 13 months.

7. The total the agent states: A clean two-unit TX-880 combined-cycle deal with a stated total 5 percent low

The agent's request. Please quote 2 Aurelis TX-880 gas turbines in combined cycle, natural gas, 100 MW required at 35 C and 100 m, a 30 ppm NOx permit, a 12-year service agreement (7,000 hours and 50 starts a year), 20 percent down from an investment-grade buyer, commercial operation within 30 months, and a 3 percent discount. The quote total is $122,079,560. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Stated total does not match the validator total. The total price the agent states ($122,079,560) differs from the total the validator computes ($128,504,800).

8. The total the agent states: The agent resubmits after fixing the errors

The agent's request. Please quote 2 Aurelis TX-880 gas turbines in combined cycle, natural gas, 100 MW required at 35 C and 100 m, a 30 ppm NOx permit, a 12-year service agreement (7,000 hours and 50 starts a year), 20 percent down from an investment-grade buyer, commercial operation within 30 months, and a 3 percent discount. The quote total is $128,504,800. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

  • Price summary. Illustrative price $128,504,800 total. Power island equipment $118,000,000 less 3 percent = $114,460,000; LTSA $14,044,800 for 91,200 EOH per unit; down payment $22,892,000.00. Site output 56.48 MW per unit, 112.96 MW available, lead time about 26 months.

Narration transcript

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The text of the narrated walkthrough, step by step.

  1. Welcome to a demo of Predictika's Validator. An AI sales agent prepares a gas turbine power island and long-term service agreement quote for a fictional customer of Aurelis Power Systems: turbine model and units, cycle, site conditions, and more. The company, its TX-series turbines and every figure are fictional. Before the quote goes out, the agent sends it to Predictika, which checks the whole plant against the example rules and returns a verdict, every reason and the price it computed.
  2. Each tab is a different request. We will start with the first one.
  3. The agent says. Please quote 2 Aurelis TX-720 gas turbines in combined cycle, a hydrogen blend (40 percent hydrogen), 90 MW required at 40 C and 600 m. The quote total is $71,058,240. The rest of the request is on screen.
  4. Before it goes out, the agent calls the validator.
  5. Blocked, with eleven findings, all in one answer. 65.26 MW available (32.63 MW per unit at 40 C and 600 m, N redundancy) is below the 90.0 MW required. 40 percent hydrogen exceeds the 35 percent the TX-720 industrial gas turbine combustion system is rated for. Permit limit 15 ppm NOx is below the 20 ppm DLE guarantee; add SCR. The other eight are on screen.
  6. The validator returned eleven blocking findings in one answer. A check that reads one field at a time would pass most of this; it shows only when the choices in the quote are checked against each other and against the stated total.
  7. What this shows: for service agreement hours that depend on running hours, starts, term and turbine, a rules-based CPQ can do this only with workarounds.
  8. Now the agent resubmits.
  9. The corrected request. It changes the units to 4, the hydrogen share to 30 percent, the SCR to yes, the black-start diesel package to yes and the stated quote total to $197,452,800. Six more changes are on screen.
  10. It calls the validator again.
  11. This time the validator clears it.
  12. All eleven earlier findings are cleared.
  13. Eleven problems caught in one call, fixed in one pass, and a clean $197,452,800 quote. That is the value of Predictika's validator: catching mistakes before they reach the customer.