Predictika · Merrill Lynch client recommendations

An AI advisor assistant's client recommendation, checked before it goes out

An AI assistant working for a Merrill Financial Advisor drafts a recommendation for a client: a program such as Merrill Guided Investing, Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor, the Merrill Lynch Investment Advisory Program or a Wealth Management brokerage account, an account type, and a product. Before it goes out, the assistant sends it to Predictika, which checks it against a declarative model of the published Merrill program terms and the care obligation in Regulation Best Interest, and returns a verdict, every reason and the fee or commissions it computed.

Scope: Client recommendations in Merrill Guided Investing, Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor, the Merrill Lynch Investment Advisory Program and Merrill Lynch Wealth Management brokerage accounts, across ETFs, mutual fund share classes, individual stocks, market-linked notes, non-traded REITs, private funds, annuities and the Loan Management Account. See everything this validator covers

This validator models Merrill Lynch client recommendations, not just the scenarios shown below.

  • Programs, fees and minimums — the published fee of 0.45% for Merrill Guided Investing and 0.85% for Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor, their growth and income minimums, Preferred Rewards fee discounts by combined Bank of America and Merrill balances, the 1.75% maximum Merrill fee in the Investment Advisory Program, and the Wealth Management commission schedule.
  • Accounts and products — eligible account types (no new trusts in guided investing), strategy portfolios only in guided investing, no recommendations in Merrill Edge Self-Directed, no margin or securities-based lending against retirement accounts, and the $100,000 minimum for a Loan Management Account.
  • Client fit (modeled from industry practice) — position limits by product and risk tolerance, the accredited-investor gate for private funds, products that do not fit a conservative client, lock-up or surrender periods longer than the client horizon, and supervisor review of complex products for clients aged 65 and over.
  • Cost comparisons (modeled thresholds) — Class A against Class C mutual fund shares over the client horizon, a rollover against the cost of staying in the employer plan, an advisory fee against brokerage commissions at the client trading pace, and heavy trading in a commission account.
  • Stated figure — the annual fee or commissions the recommendation states, against the figure computed from the program, the balances and the trading pace.

Any recommendation that touches these rules is in scope — not only the scenarios pictured here. Fees, minimums, eligible accounts, discounts and the commission schedule come from public Merrill pages; the thresholds marked modeled are Predictika's, not published Merrill rules. Not covered: other programs such as the Managed Account Service, tax and estate planning, insurance, and the selection of a particular security or fund.

The AI advisor assistantDrafts a client recommendation for the advisor and says it is ready to send.
Predictika validatorChecks every rule at once and returns the verdict, each finding, and the computed figures.

8 scenarios in 4 groups · each group runs from the agent’s first attempt to the outcome · click one to switch

What the agent proposes

The AI advisor assistant says

Illustrative agent statement. The validator receives the structured request below.

Proposing agent: AI advisor assistant (scripted)

Before sending, the agent must call Recorded run

Predictika validator


      
Waiting for the call.

Where rules-based CPQ gets it wrong

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Our assessment of what a typical rules-based CPQ (product rules, price rules and validation rules, as in Salesforce CPQ) does with the same cases. It is a judgment about effort and reliability, not a claim that nothing can be built.

What the validator caughtTypical rules-based CPQPredictika
A fee discount that depends on balances held in other accountsOnly with workarounds
The Preferred Rewards tier comes from combined Bank of America and Merrill balances that are not on the recommendation, so a lookup has to be fed from outside and a separate rule has to recompute the fee, or a stated fee that skips the discount passes.
The combined balances are a field of the request, and the fee is recomputed with the discount on every call.
A rollover that must cost less than staying in the employer planOnly with workarounds
The comparison needs the plan cost, the program fee after the discount and the trading pace. Changing the program changes the fee, which changes the comparison, and each program carries its own rules.
The plan cost and the program are in one request, and the comparison is recomputed whenever either changes.
A position limit that depends on the product and the risk toleranceOnly with care
A table of limits by product and risk profile has to be kept in rules, and a new product needs a new row that someone has to remember.
The limit follows the product and the risk tolerance in the same request and is checked on every call.
A mutual fund share class that is cheaper only over some horizonsOnly with workarounds
Class A and Class C cross over at about four and a half years. The cost of each depends on the horizon, so two price formulas and a comparison rule are needed.
Both costs are computed from the horizon and compared on every call.
A stated fee that must match the computed fee or commissionsOnly with workarounds
The commission schedule is tiered by trade size, so a separate rule has to rebuild the schedule and compare it with the stated figure.
The stated figure is a field of the request and is compared with the computed fee or commissions on every call.
Money tied up longer than the client time horizonOnly with workarounds
The lock-up of a product has to be compared with the horizon of this client, and a position limit and a senior-client review depend on the same product, so each needs its own rule and its own upkeep.
The lock-up, the horizon, the position size and the client age are in one request, and every rule that depends on them is checked together.
Every problem returned in one answerOnly with workarounds
Rules tend to fire as a step is saved, so a rep often fixes one error and meets the next.
All findings come back together, whatever order the choices arrived in.

What this validator catches: findings from its test cases

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Every rule is checked on every call, in any order the choices arrive; one problem never hides another. Blocking findings stop the request; approval findings need a person to sign off; everything else is computed.

1Merrill Edge Self-Directed accounts receive no recommendations, so a recommendation cannot be made in this account type.
2Merrill Guided Investing needs at least $1,000 for a growth strategy and $50,000 for an income strategy; this recommendation is for $800.
3Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor needs at least $20,000 for a growth strategy and $50,000 for an income strategy; this recommendation is for $15,000.
4New trust accounts cannot be opened in Merrill Guided Investing or Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor.
5Merrill Guided Investing accounts invest in Merrill CIO strategy portfolios of ETFs and mutual funds; they do not hold individual securities or the other product recommended here.
6Mutual fund share classes that carry a sales charge or a 12b-1 fee do not belong in an Investment Advisory Program account that already charges a fee on the assets.
7Annuities and non-traded REITs are brokerage products and are not held in the Investment Advisory Program.
8The Merrill fee rate in the Investment Advisory Program is at most 1.75% a year; this recommendation uses 1.9%.
9The stated annual fee or commissions of $500 do not match the computed $982.
10A private fund can only be recommended to an accredited investor, and this client is not one.
11Market-linked notes, non-traded REITs and private funds put principal at risk or lock it up, and do not fit a conservative client.
12This recommendation is 12.5% of the liquid net worth of the client; the limit for this product and risk profile is 10%.
13The product ties money up for 11 years (note term, lock-up or surrender period), longer than the client time horizon of 10 years.
14Over the client horizon of 12 years Class C shares cost about $18,000 against about $9,750 for Class A, so Class A is the cheaper class.
15Over the client horizon of 3 years Class A shares cost about $6,375 against about $4,500 for Class C; the front-end sales charge is not recovered at this horizon.
16A securities-based line of credit cannot be secured by a retirement account; Merrill margin lending excludes retirement accounts.
17A Loan Management Account needs a credit facility of at least $100,000; this recommendation is for $90,000.
18Borrowing against the portfolio exposes it to collateral calls and forced sales, which does not fit a conservative client; a supervisor must approve.
19A rollover recommendation needs the all-in cost of the current employer plan so it can be compared with the cost of the recommended account; none was provided.
20The recommended account costs about 100 basis points a year against 40 basis points to stay in the employer plan; the reason the rollover is in the best interest of the client must be documented.
21The client is 65 years old and the product is a note, REIT, private fund or annuity; senior investor policy requires a supervisor review.
22An annuity held in an IRA adds cost without adding tax deferral the IRA already has; the reason must be documented.
23The advisory fee of $5,000 a year is more than twice the $982 the same client would pay in commissions at about 2 trades a year in a brokerage account; document why an advisory account fits.
24Commissions of about $19,640 a year are more than 2% of the $100,000 recommended; review whether the trading pace is in the best interest of the client.

Scenarios and results

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The recorded result of the validator for each scenario on this page: the request the AI agent sent, the verdict, and every finding, in the order they appear above.

1. Rollover, lock-up and fee: A $450,000 401(k) rollover into a non-traded REIT in Guided Investing with Advisor, with a stated annual fee

The agent's request. Please recommend to Elena Vasquez, 66, a moderate investor with a 7-year horizon and $1,500,000 in liquid net worth, a rollover of $450,000 from her employer 401(k), where the all-in cost is 0.55% a year, into a Traditional IRA, invested in a non-traded REIT, in Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor. Her Bank of America and Merrill balances total $400,000. The product has an 8-year redemption restriction. The annual fee is $3,825. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Guided investing holds strategy portfolios only. Merrill Guided Investing accounts invest in Merrill CIO strategy portfolios of ETFs and mutual funds; they do not hold individual securities or the other product recommended here.
  • Stated annual fee or commissions do not match. The stated annual fee or commissions of $3,825 do not match the computed $3,150.
  • Position above the concentration limit. This recommendation is 30% of the liquid net worth of the client; the limit for this product and risk profile is 10%.
  • Money tied up longer than the client horizon. The product ties money up for 8 years (note term, lock-up or surrender period), longer than the client time horizon of 7 years.
  • Senior client and a complex product. The client is 66 years old and the product is a note, REIT, private fund or annuity; senior investor policy requires a supervisor review.
  • Rollover costs more than staying in the plan. The recommended account costs about 70 basis points a year against 55 basis points to stay in the employer plan; the reason the rollover is in the best interest of the client must be documented.
  • Advisory fee far above brokerage commissions. The advisory fee of $3,150 a year is more than twice the $1,366 the same client would pay in commissions at about 1 trades a year in a brokerage account; document why an advisory account fits.

2. Rollover, lock-up and fee: The agent resubmits after fixing the errors

The agent's request. Please recommend to Elena Vasquez, 66, a moderate investor with a 7-year horizon and $1,500,000 in liquid net worth, a rollover of $450,000 from her employer 401(k), where the all-in cost is 0.55% a year, into a Traditional IRA, invested in a Merrill CIO strategy portfolio, in Merrill Guided Investing. Her Bank of America and Merrill balances total $400,000. The annual fee is $1,350. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

  • Computed by the validator. Recommendation of $450,000; annual fee or commissions of about $1,350 (about 30 basis points); 30% of the liquid net worth of the client.

3. Program and concentration: A $225,000 single-stock position in Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor, with a stated annual fee

The agent's request. Please recommend to Daniel Okafor, 58, a aggressive investor with a 8-year horizon and $900,000 in liquid net worth, $225,000 invested in one large-cap stock, in Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor. His Bank of America and Merrill balances total $1,400,000. The annual fee is $1,912. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Guided investing holds strategy portfolios only. Merrill Guided Investing accounts invest in Merrill CIO strategy portfolios of ETFs and mutual funds; they do not hold individual securities or the other product recommended here.
  • Stated annual fee or commissions do not match. The stated annual fee or commissions of $1,912 do not match the computed $1,575.
  • Position above the concentration limit. This recommendation is 25% of the liquid net worth of the client; the limit for this product and risk profile is 20%.

4. Program and concentration: The agent resubmits after fixing the errors

The agent's request. Please recommend to Daniel Okafor, 58, a aggressive investor with a 8-year horizon and $900,000 in liquid net worth, $180,000 invested in one large-cap stock, in a Merrill Lynch Wealth Management brokerage account. His Bank of America and Merrill balances total $1,400,000. The plan is about 2 trades a year of $90,000 each. The annual cost in commissions is $2,532. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

  • Computed by the validator. Recommendation of $180,000; annual fee or commissions of about $2,532 (about 141 basis points); 20% of the liquid net worth of the client.

5. Mutual fund share class: A $150,000 mutual fund purchase in Class C shares for a long-horizon client

The agent's request. Please recommend to Priya Raman, 52, a moderate investor with a 12-year horizon and $700,000 in liquid net worth, $150,000 invested in Class C shares of a mutual fund, in a Merrill Lynch Wealth Management brokerage account. The shares are held for the full horizon. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Class C costs more than Class A over the horizon. Over the client horizon of 12 years Class C shares cost about $18,000 against about $9,750 for Class A, so Class A is the cheaper class.

6. Mutual fund share class: The agent resubmits after fixing the errors

The agent's request. Please recommend to Priya Raman, 52, a moderate investor with a 12-year horizon and $700,000 in liquid net worth, $150,000 invested in Class A shares of a mutual fund, in a Merrill Lynch Wealth Management brokerage account. The shares are held for the full horizon. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

  • Computed by the validator. Recommendation of $150,000; annual fee or commissions of about $0 (about 0 basis points); 21.4% of the liquid net worth of the client.

7. Line of credit: A $100,000 Loan Management Account line of credit secured by an IRA

The agent's request. Please recommend to Hannah Brooks, 61, a moderate investor with a 10-year horizon and $1,600,000 in liquid net worth, a $100,000 Loan Management Account line of credit secured by her a Traditional IRA, held in a Merrill Lynch Wealth Management brokerage account. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Line of credit against a retirement account. A securities-based line of credit cannot be secured by a retirement account; Merrill margin lending excludes retirement accounts.

8. Line of credit: The agent resubmits after fixing the errors

The agent's request. Please recommend to Hannah Brooks, 61, a moderate investor with a 10-year horizon and $1,600,000 in liquid net worth, a $100,000 Loan Management Account line of credit secured by her an individual taxable account, held in a Merrill Lynch Wealth Management brokerage account. It is ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

  • Computed by the validator. Recommendation of $100,000; annual fee or commissions of about $0 (about 0 basis points); 6.2% of the liquid net worth of the client.

Narration transcript

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The text of the narrated walkthrough, step by step.

  1. Welcome to a demo of Predictika's Validator. An AI assistant working for a Merrill Financial Advisor drafts a recommendation for a client: a program such as Merrill Guided Investing, Merrill Guided Investing with Advisor, the Merrill Lynch Investment Advisory Program or a Wealth Management brokerage account, and more. Before it goes out, the assistant sends it to Predictika, which checks it against a declarative model of the published Merrill program terms and the care obligation in Regulation Best Interest, and returns a verdict, every reason and the fee or commissions it computed.
  2. I will start with the first request by the agent.
  3. The agent says. Please recommend to Elena Vasquez, 66, a moderate investor with a 7-year horizon and $1,500,000 in liquid net worth, a rollover of $450,000 from her employer 401(k). Her Bank of America and Merrill balances total $400,000. The rest of the request is on screen. The annual fee is $3,825.
  4. Before it goes out, the agent calls the validator.
  5. Blocked, with four findings and three approvals, all in one answer. Merrill Guided Investing accounts invest in Merrill CIO strategy portfolios of ETFs and mutual funds; they do not hold individual securities or the other product recommended here. The stated annual fee or commissions of $3,825 do not match the computed $3,150. This recommendation is 30% of the liquid net worth of the client; the limit for this product and risk profile is 10%. The other one is on screen.
  6. The validator returned four blocking findings and three approvals in one answer. A check that reads one field at a time would pass most of this; it shows only when the choices in the request are checked against each other.
  7. What this shows: for money tied up longer than the client time horizon, a rules-based CPQ can do this only with workarounds.
  8. Now the agent resubmits.
  9. The corrected request. It changes the program to Merrill Guided Investing, the product to Merrill CIO strategy portfolio and the stated annual fee or commissions to $1,350. It removes the lock-up or redemption period.
  10. It calls the validator again.
  11. This time the validator clears it.
  12. All seven earlier findings are cleared.
  13. Seven problems caught in one call, fixed in one pass, and a clean request. That is the value of Predictika's validator: catching mistakes before the action runs. Now you can try the other scenarios yourself.