Predictika · top drives, mud pumps, BOP stacks, sour service, RigCare, lead time and discount authority

An AI sales agent's rig equipment package, checked before it goes out

An AI sales agent prepares a drilling rig equipment package for a fictional contractor. Before it goes out, the agent sends it to Predictika’s validator, which checks it against the well program and the equipment rules, compares the package total the agent states with the one it computes, and returns a verdict with every reason.

Scope: packages of an NOV top drive, mud pumps and a BOP stack, with optional RigCare service. See everything this validator covers

This validator models drilling rig equipment packages in the style of NOV: a top drive, mud pumps and a BOP stack, with optional service. It handles any package made of these products, not just the scenarios shown below.

  • Top drives, mud pumps and BOP stacks — NOV TDS-11SA, TDS-8SA and TDX-1250 top drives, 12-P-160 and 14-P-220 triplex and HEX 150 mud pumps, and Shaffer 5K, 10K and 15K BOP stacks, with their ratings and lead times.
  • Fit to the well program — Hook load, torque, circulating pressure, hydraulic HP with and without a spare pump, maximum surface pressure, rig class limits, floater and sour-service requirements, and lead time against the spud date.
  • Service and pricing — RigCare service priced at 3 percent of equipment per year with a 3-year minimum, discount authority with a rep limit and a hard limit, and a check that the package total the agent states matches the computed total.

It does not cover other NOV product lines, real list prices, a full well design or engineering review, or tax and multi-currency quoting.

The AI sales agentBuilds the quote from the conversation and says it is ready.
Predictika validatorChecks the quote against the product and contract rules and returns every finding it has.

8 scenarios in 4 groups · each group runs from the agent’s first attempt to the outcome · click one to switch

What the agent proposes

The AI sales agent says

Illustrative agent statement. The validator receives the structured request below.

Proposing agent: AI sales agent (scripted)

Before sending, the agent must call Recorded run

Predictika validator


      
Waiting for the call.

Where rules-based CPQ gets it wrong

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Our assessment of what a typical rules-based CPQ (product rules, price rules and validation rules, as in Salesforce CPQ or Revenue Cloud) does with the same cases. It is a judgment about effort and reliability, not a claim that nothing can be built.

What the validator catchesTypical rules-based CPQPredictika
Top drive and pumps sized against the well programOnly with workarounds
Hook load, torque, circulating pressure and hydraulic HP each compare a catalog rating with a well requirement, across three product lines. That is a rule per combination, and it multiplies quickly.
Each rating is a property of its catalog item, compared with the well program on every call.
Hydraulic power with one pump downOnly with workarounds
Counting pumps times HP, and again with one pump out of service, is a calculation across quantity and catalog data that price and validation rules handle poorly.
Pump count and HP are computed together, including the one-pump-down case.
Rig class limitsOnly with care
Mast size and the pump limit depend on the rig class, so each class becomes its own rule rows.
Rig class is an input, and its limits are evaluated with the rest of the package.
Floaters, subsea stacks and sour-service trimOnly with care
A floater needs the 18-3/4 in stack, and H2S service requires NACE trim. Both are conditional rules that also feed the price.
Both are checked on every call, and the trim adder flows into the equipment price.
Package lead time against the spud dateOnly with care
The package lead time is the longest of three lines, compared with the date the rig is needed.
The longest lead time is computed from the three catalog lines and compared in one pass.
RigCare term, service price and discount authorityEasy
A minimum term, a service price of 3 percent of equipment per year, and tiered discount limits are price and approval rules most CPQ tools handle.
They sit in the same model as the equipment checks.
The package total the agent statesOnly with workarounds
Comparing a stated total with a computed one means a rule per quote layout, and price rules rarely run on stated figures.
The stated total is a field in the request and is checked against the computed total.

What this validator catches

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Every rule is checked on every call, in whatever order the choices arrive, and one problem never hides another. Blocking findings stop the quote; approval findings need a person to sign off; everything else is computed.

RuleEffectWhat it checks
Top drive hook loadblockThe top drive rating covers the hook load the well needs.
Top drive size for the rigblockThe top drive does not exceed the mast rating of the rig class.
Top drive torqueblockThe top drive torque covers the drilling torque.
Mud pump pressureblockThe pump pressure rating covers the circulating pressure.
Hydraulic horsepowerblockPump count times pump HP covers the required hydraulic HP.
BOP working pressureblockThe BOP working pressure covers the maximum surface pressure.
Floater BOP stackblockA floating rig has an 18-3/4 in subsea stack.
Sour-service trimblockH2S service has NACE MR0175 trim on the stack (8 percent adder).
Land rig pump limitblockA land rig has at most 3 mud pumps.
RigCare termblockRigCare has a term of at least 3 years.
Lead timeblockThe longest of the three lead times fits the date the rig is needed.
Discount limitblockNo more than 5 percent discount, or 8 percent on a package of USD 10 million or more.
Package total the agent statesblockThe package total in the agent's request matches the computed total within USD 500.
Spare pumpneeds approvalWith one pump down the hydraulic HP falls short; operations must approve.
Discount approvalneeds approvalA discount above 2 percent needs sales sign-off.

Scenarios and results

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The recorded result of the validator for each scenario on this page: the request the AI agent sent, the verdict, and every finding, in the order they appear above.

1. Top drive rating: TDS-11SA for a heavy well

The agent's request. Land 3,000 HP rig with an NOV TDS-11SA top drive, two NOV 12-P-160 mud pumps and an NOV Shaffer 13-5/8 in 5K BOP stack. The well needs 600 tons hook load and 50 kft-lb torque, 4,500 psi circulating pressure, 1,500 hydraulic HP and 4,500 psi at the surface, and the rig is needed in 52 weeks. Package total USD 5,500,000. Ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Top drive hook load. The NOV TDS-11SA top drive is rated 500 tons; the well needs 600 tons hook load.
  • Top drive torque. The NOV TDS-11SA top drive delivers 37 kft-lb; the program needs 50 kft-lb.

2. Top drive rating: TDS-8SA for the same well

The agent's request. Land 3,000 HP rig with an NOV TDS-8SA top drive, two NOV 12-P-160 mud pumps and an NOV Shaffer 13-5/8 in 5K BOP stack. The well needs 600 tons hook load and 50 kft-lb torque, 4,500 psi circulating pressure, 1,500 hydraulic HP and 4,500 psi at the surface, and the rig is needed in 52 weeks. Package total USD 6,400,000. Ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

3. Floater stack and sour trim: Floater with a 13-5/8 in stack

The agent's request. Floating rig with an NOV TDX-1250 top drive, four NOV 14-P-220 mud pumps and an NOV Shaffer 13-5/8 in 10K BOP stack, for a sour (H2S) well. The well needs 1,100 tons hook load, 90 kft-lb torque, 7,000 psi circulating pressure, 6,000 hydraulic HP and 9,000 psi at the surface, needed in 80 weeks. Package total USD 14,000,000. Ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Subsea BOP stack for a floater. A floating rig needs an 18-3/4 in subsea BOP stack.
  • Sour-service trim. Sour (H2S) service requires NACE MR0175 trim on the BOP stack.

4. Floater stack and sour trim: Subsea stack with NACE trim

The agent's request. Floating rig with an NOV TDX-1250 top drive, four NOV 14-P-220 mud pumps and an NOV Shaffer 18-3/4 in 15K subsea BOP stack with NACE MR0175 trim, for a sour (H2S) well. The well needs 1,100 tons hook load, 90 kft-lb torque, 7,000 psi circulating pressure, 6,000 hydraulic HP and 9,000 psi at the surface, needed in 80 weeks. Package total USD 21,060,000. Ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

5. The package total the agent states: Stated total below computed

The agent's request. Jackup rig with an NOV TDS-8SA top drive, three NOV 14-P-220 mud pumps, an NOV Shaffer 13-5/8 in 10K BOP stack and a 3-year RigCare service agreement. The well needs 650 tons hook load, 55 kft-lb torque, 7,000 psi circulating pressure, 4,000 hydraulic HP and 8,000 psi at the surface, needed in 60 weeks. Package total USD 10,579,540. Ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Package total the agent states. The stated package total of $10579.54K does not match the $11499.5K the validator computed.

6. The package total the agent states: Stated total corrected

The agent's request. Jackup rig with an NOV TDS-8SA top drive, three NOV 14-P-220 mud pumps, an NOV Shaffer 13-5/8 in 10K BOP stack and a 3-year RigCare service agreement. The well needs 650 tons hook load, 55 kft-lb torque, 7,000 psi circulating pressure, 4,000 hydraulic HP and 8,000 psi at the surface, needed in 60 weeks. Package total USD 11,499,500. Ready to send.

Verdict: Allowed.

7. Discount authority: 12 percent discount

The agent's request. Floating rig with an NOV TDX-1250 top drive, four NOV 14-P-220 mud pumps and an NOV Shaffer 18-3/4 in 15K subsea BOP stack with NACE MR0175 trim, with a 12 percent discount. The well needs 1,100 tons hook load, 90 kft-lb torque, 7,000 psi circulating pressure, 6,000 hydraulic HP and 12,000 psi at the surface, needed in 80 weeks. Package total USD 18,532,800. Ready to send.

Verdict: Blocked.

  • Discount limit. 12 percent discount exceeds the 8 percent maximum for a $21060.0K package.

8. Discount authority: 6 percent discount

The agent's request. Floating rig with an NOV TDX-1250 top drive, four NOV 14-P-220 mud pumps and an NOV Shaffer 18-3/4 in 15K subsea BOP stack with NACE MR0175 trim, with a 6 percent discount. The well needs 1,100 tons hook load, 90 kft-lb torque, 7,000 psi circulating pressure, 6,000 hydraulic HP and 12,000 psi at the surface, needed in 80 weeks. Package total USD 19,796,400. Ready to send.

Verdict: Needs approval.

  • Discount approval. 6 percent discount is above the 2 percent sales authority; approvable up to 8 percent.

Narration transcript

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The text of the narrated walkthrough, step by step.

  1. Welcome to a demo of Predictika's Validator. An AI sales agent prepares a drilling rig equipment package for a fictional contractor. Before it goes out, the agent sends it to Predictika’s validator, which checks it against the well program and the equipment rules, compares the package total the agent states with the one it computes, and returns a verdict with every reason.
  2. I will start with the first request by the agent.
  3. The agent says. Land 3,000 HP rig with an NOV TDS-11SA top drive, two NOV 12-P-160 mud pumps and an NOV Shaffer 13-5/8 in 5K BOP stack. The well needs 600 tons hook load and 50 kft-lb torque, 4,500 psi circulating pressure, 1,500 hydraulic HP and 4,500 psi at the surface. The rest of the request is on screen. Package total USD 5,500,000.
  4. Before it goes out, the agent calls the validator.
  5. Blocked, with two findings, all in one answer. The NOV TDS-11SA top drive is rated 500 tons; the well needs 600 tons hook load. The NOV TDS-11SA top drive delivers 37 kft-lb; the program needs 50 kft-lb.
  6. The validator returned two blocking findings in one answer. A check that reads one field at a time would pass most of this; it shows only when the choices in the quote are checked against each other.
  7. What this shows: for top drive and pumps sized against the well program, a rules-based CPQ can do this only with workarounds.
  8. Now the agent resubmits.
  9. The corrected request. It changes the Top Drive to NOV TDS-8SA top drive and the stated total as to $6,400,000.
  10. It calls the validator again.
  11. This time the validator clears it.
  12. The validator also returns the line-item quote. It starts with NOV TDS-8SA top drive and NOV 12-P-160 triplex mud pump; the other line is on screen.
  13. Both earlier findings are cleared, and the validator's total, USD 6,400,000, matches the quote.
  14. Two problems caught in one call, fixed in one pass, and a clean $6,400,000 quote. That is the value of Predictika's validator: catching mistakes before they reach the customer.